timesofindia.indiatimes.com

timesofindia.indiatimes.com ·

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gold price prediction today india where is gold silver rate headed on may 13 2026 mcx gold futures outlook customs import duty hike us iran war middle east tensions

ECON_STOCKMARKETEPU_ECONOMY_HISTORICECON_WORLDCURRENCIES_DOLLARECON_INFLATION

Topic context

This topic has been covered 338151 times in the last 30 days across our monitored publishers.

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The full article is on the original publisher site. This page only shows the headline and a very short excerpt.

AI insight

AI-generated

India's import duty hike on gold and silver (6% to 15%) directly raises domestic bullion prices, squeezing local jewellers' margins and reducing consumer demand. The channel is regulatory (import tariff) and fx_passthrough (rupee vs dollar). Impact is India-specific (EM_MARKETS) with global gold price support from ETF inflows and safe-haven demand amid US-Iran tensions. Affected products: gold, silver. Scarcity risk is low as the duty aims to curb imports, not supply shortage.

Signals our AI researcher identified

Extracted by our AI model from this article and related public sources — not direct quotes from the publisher.

  • India raised import duty on gold and silver from 6% to 15% on May 13, 2026.
  • MCX gold briefly reached ₹1.64 lakh per 10 grams; silver touched ₹3 lakh/kg.
  • International gold rose ~2% to ~$4,740/oz; silver ~$86/oz.
  • Significant inflows into gold ETFs recorded in April.
Sector verdictCOMMODITY_GOLDDownmagnitude 2/3 · confidence 3/5

Global gold prices may soften 1-2% over 2-4 weeks due to reduced Indian demand, with domestic consumption down 20-30%.

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Sector impact at a glance

  • COMMODITY_GOLDmid
  • COMMODITY_GOLDshort
  • EM_MARKETSmid
  • EM_MARKETSshort

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About the publisher

The Times of India is one of India's largest English-language dailies.

Topic context

Inflation is the rate at which consumer prices rise over time, typically measured by a CPI index. Central banks use policy interest rates to keep it within a target band.